Spain's Fiscal Consolidation Pressure To Continue: Moody's

By | November 28, 2016

The 2017 outlook for Spanish regions is stable but fiscal consolidation pressures will continue and structural reforms may be deferred under the minority government, Moody’s Investors Service said Monday.

Although Moody’s expects regional deficits to narrow in 2016, the ratings agency believes they will still breach the government-imposed deficit limit target of 0.7 percent of regional GDP.

In the report, “Regional Governments — Spain: 2017 Outlook – Fiscal Consolidation and Rising Economic Growth Drive Stable Outlook”, the agency reiterated that the economy is set to grow 2 percent in 2017.

“Spain’s improving economic prospects will help reduce budgetary pressure for the regions,” Marisol Bl?zquez, a Moody’s Analyst and author of the report, said.

“Spain’s positive economic growth should gradually increase the regions’ tax revenues and central government transfers, helping them to rebalance their budgets.”

Moody’s cautioned that outlook for Spanish regions could change to negative if slower-than-expected economic growth or deficit reduction were to threaten or postpone debt stabilisation.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

Jonathon Alexander

Intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for GBP/USD for November 28, 2016 888011000 110888 The cost zone in between 1.3845 and 1.3550 (historic bottoms embeded in January 2009)was considered a considerable need zone to be expected bullish recovery.However, by the end of June a significant bearish break below 1.3550 was revealed as seen on the portrayed charts(fundamental factors). Bearish persistence listed below the demand level at 1.3550 enhanced the bearish circumstance to the existing cost levels around 1.2700(closest bearish projection target). Keep in mind that the GBP/USD pair was trapped inside the portrayed consolidation variety above 1.2700 till a bearish breakout occurred on October 6. Daily determination below 1.2700 verified the bearish Flag pattern. That’s why, bearish forecast target would lie around 1.2020. Just recently, bullish healing was manifested around 1.2080. That is why, a bullish pullback is being executed towards 1.2700. Any bullish pullback to 1.2700 shouldbe considered for a valid OFFER entry. The recent bearish engulfing WEEKLY candlestick improves this bearish circumstance. T/P levels should be located at 1.2300 and 1.2100. The material has been offered by InstaForex Company- www.instaforex.com

By | November 28, 2016

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The price zone between 1.3845 and 1.3550 (historical bottoms set in January 2009) was considered a significant demand zone to be watched for bullish recovery.

However, by the end of June a significant bearish break below 1.3550 was expressed as seen on the depicted charts (fundamental reasons).

Bearish persistence below the demand level at 1.3550 enhanced the bearish scenario towards the current price levels around 1.2700 (nearest bearish projection target).

Note that the GBP/USD pair was trapped inside the depicted consolidation range above 1.2700 until a bearish breakout took place on October 6.

Daily persistence below 1.2700 confirmed the bearish Flag pattern. That’s why, bearish projection target would be located around 1.2020.

Recently, bullish recovery was manifested around 1.2080. That is why, a bullish pullback is being executed towards 1.2700.

Any bullish pullback towards 1.2700 should be considered for a valid SELL entry. The recent bearish engulfing WEEKLY candlestick enhances this bearish scenario. T/P levels should be located at 1.2300 and 1.2100.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

Jonathon Alexander

Fxwirepro: Singapore Dollar Gains in Early Hours of Asia, Intraday Bias Remains Bearish

By | November 28, 2016
  • USD/SGD is currently trading around 1.4239 marks.  
  • It made intraday high at 1.4283 and low at 1.4236 levels.  
  • Intraday bias remains bearish till the time pair holds key resistance at 1.4345 marks.  
  • A sustained close above 1.4280 will test key resistances at 1.4345, 1.4443, 1.4481 and 1.4556 levels respectively.  
  • Alternatively, a consistent close below 1.4280 will drag the parity down towards key supports at 1.4201/1.4128/1.4046/1.3972/1.3819/1.3775/1.3704/1.3646/1.3587/1.3510/1.3462/1.3391/1.3347/1.3313/1.3302/ 1.3271 levels.  
  • Important to note here that 20D, 30D and 55D EMA heads up and confirms the bullish trend in a daily chart. Current downside movement is short term trend correction only.

We prefer to go short on USD/SGD around 1.4250 with stop loss at 1.4345 and target of 1.4201/1.4128.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

Jonathon Alexander

Americas Roundup: Dollar Slightly Firms Against Euro As U.s. Rate Walking Expectations Loom, Oil falls $2 a Barrel on Opec Cut

By | November 25, 2016

Market Roundup & bull; U.S.

advance trade gap jumps to• USD 62 billion from USD 56.5 billion. & bull; Markit US Nov services flash PMI 54.7; near forecast, October final which were both 54.8. • & bull; China to tighten control on domestic firms' ' foreign investment-WSJ. • & bull; UK firms show no Brexit vote hit in Q3 as investment grows. • & bull; Mexico factory exports depression by the majority of in almost 4 years. • & bull; Mexico current account deficit narrows a little in Q3. • & bull; Brazil minister at center of new federal government scandal resigns. .
.
• & bull; Brazil tax earnings leap in October on asset amnesty program. • & bull;” Mini-dollar” tag set to aid sterling in 2017. • & bull; Brazil central gov'' t main surplus 40.814 billion reais in Oct vs forecast 25.261 billion.

Looking Ahead – Economic Data (GMT)

• & bull; No Significant

Data Looking Ahead – Occasions, Other Releases (GMT)

• & bull; No Substantial Events

Currency Summaries EUR/USD is most likely to find assistance at 1.0554 levels and currently trading at 1.0592 levels. The pair has actually made session high at 1.0625 and hit lows at 1.0579 levels. Euro decreased slightly versus the dollar on Friday as the dollar firmed versus the euro on the view that Federal Reserve would raise interest rates at the end of the year. The U.S. currency likewise benefited from expectations of an inflationary push from the Trump administration. Investors are wagering that Trump will adopt policies that increase spending and financial obligation as well as spur growth and inflation, which will boost US dollar. The euro at first rose 0.5 percent to $1.0601 prior to dropping slightly to $1.0589 in the late United States session. The euro is dealing with a host of political dangers in the coming months, including an Italian constitutional referendum in less than 2 weeks and French and German elections next year, that are seen as most likely to own the currency lower. GBP/USD is supported in the series of 1.2410 levels and presently trading at 1.2466 levels. It reached session high at 1.2480 and dropped to session low at 1.2421 levels. Sterling leapt against the dollar on Friday as sterling was supported by positive UK GDP data and financiers switched their focus from the political threats dealing with Britain towards those facing the euro zone. Data showed that Britain'' s economy grew 0.5 percent in the 3rd quarter, as anticipated, and that business investment broadened more than anticipated. Sterling struck as high as $1.2480 earlier in the US session before pulling away somewhat to trade at 1.2464. Sterling is still down 16 percent versus the dollar because the Brexit vote, though it was 0.1 percent up at $1.2455 on Friday. Analysts are divided over the more comprehensive outlook for sterling heading into early 2017, when Post 50 is due to be triggered, kicking off formal Brexit talks with Brussels. USD/CAD is supported at 1.3456 levels and is trading at 1.3523 levels. It has actually made session high at 1.3533 and lows at 1.3487 levels. The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. equivalent on Friday as a drop in oil prices balance out a pullback for the greenback against a basket of major currencies. Modest losses for the loonie came as Canada'' s 10-year yield fell 3.2 basis points listed below its U.S. equivalent to leave a spread of -79.9 basis points. On Wednesday, the spread hit its widest in 10 months at -81.9 basis points. A larger spread lowers investor reward to purchase lower-yielding Canadian bonds, cutting need for Canadian dollars. U.S. crude fell nearly 4 percent on Friday, dragged down by uncertainty over whether the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will reach an output deal. Bank of Canada opted last month to hold rate of interest steady, though it acknowledged it had actually considered cutting for the third time in 2 years. The Canadian dollar was last trading at C$ 1.3515 to the greenback, or 74.08 U.S. cents, somewhat weaker than Thursday'' s close of C$ 1.3491, or 74.12 U.S. cents. AUD/USD is supported around 0.7382 levels and presently trading at 0.7432 levels. It struck session high at 0.7444 and made session lows at 0.7418 levels. The Australian dollar declined decently versus United States dollar on Friday as the Australian dollar was weighted down by fall in oil costs and a little firmer dollar. A resurgent U.S. dollar has actually been pushing basket of currencies lower as the market continued to wager that Trump'' s administration will increase debt-funded costs and stimulate higher growth and inflation. The U.S. Federal Reserve is extensively expected to raise rate of interest at its policy meeting next month and after that to continue increasing them gradually throughout next year, which need to strengthen the dollar against most currencies. Traders will now be eyeing U.S. gross domestic product, customer self-confidence, and work information as the crucial factor of strength of United States economy. The Australian dollar was last trading $0.7429 and away from a five-month trough of $0.7308 touched on Monday. The Aussie is still down four cents in the 2 weeks considering that Republican Donald Trump won the United States Presidency and set off a dive in inflation wagers and Treasury yields. Equities Recap European shares increased somewhat on Friday, nearing their highest level in over two weeks, as the marketplace was supported by a rally in drugmakers on hopes of tie-up activity in the sector. The UK'' s benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 0.1 percent, FTSEurofirst 300 ended the day up by 0.21 percent, Germany'' s Dax ended flat, and France’& rsquo; s CAC completed the day up by 0.2 percent. Wall Street swept to record intraday and closing highs on Black Friday thanks to gains in consumer staple and innovation shares, while European stocks climbed and stabilization in U.S. Treasury yields. Dow Jones closed up by 0.33 percent, S&P 500 ended up 0.36 percent, Nasdaq ended up the day up by 0.31 percent. Treasuries Wrap-up U.S. Treasuries were on track for their worst regular monthly performance in nearly eight years on Friday as investors assessed what does it cost? even more the sell-off sparked by the surprise election of Republican Donald Trump as U.S. president has to run. Standard 10-year notes fell 2/32 in rate to yield 2.36 percent on Friday. The yields have actually leapt from about 1.80 percent before Trump’& rsquo; s election on Nov. 8. Two-year notes, which are the most sensitive to rates of interest increases, yielded 1.14 percent. The yields increased to 1.17 percent in overnight trading, the greatest because April 5. Products Recap Gold costs steadied after falling to 9-1/2 month short on Friday, moving towards a 3rd consecutive weekly decrease as investors sold on factors including expectations of a U.S. rates of interest rise. Spot gold was down 0.03 percent at $1,182.88 an ounce by 2:15 p.m. EST (1915 GMT), after tapping $1,171.21, its least expensive because Feb. 8, as funds took revenues on brief positions. U.S. gold futures settled down 0.9 percent at $1,178.40, after dipping to their lowest considering that Feb. 5 at $1,170.30. U.S. crude fell almost 4 percent on Friday, dragged down by uncertainty over whether the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will reach an output offer after Saudi Arabia stated it will not go to talks on Monday with non-OPEC manufacturers to discuss supply cuts.
âEUR’.
Brent crude futures settled at $47.24 a barrel, down $1.76 or 3.59 percent. U.S. unrefined futures calmed down $1.90 a barrel at $46.06, a 3.96 percent decline. Costs continued to decline in post-settlement trading, dropping as low as $45.88 a barrel.The material has actually
been provided by InstaForex Company- www.instaforex.com

Jonathon Alexander